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The Election 2008 Updater

Amanda Silk '08

Issue date: 5/1/08 Section: World
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Barack Obama

With Sen. Barack Obama's (Ill.) loss of the Pennsylvania primary to Democratic rival Sen. Hillary Clinton (N.Y.) on April 22, some political pundits are questioning whether or not he is suffering from the "Bradley effect." The "Bradley effect," later called the "Wilder effect," comes from the political history of Tom Bradley and Douglas Wilder, two African-Americans who campaigned for political office. In both of their races, polls showed that they had more support than was actually demonstrated on election day.

Pennsylvania polls weeks before the primary showed Obama enjoying more support than Clinton. Yet, the results proved otherwise. Political strategist Peter Fenn explained, "When people get into the voting booth, they may have said to folks, 'I'll vote for an African-American,' just like they would have said 'I'd vote for a woman' or 'I'd vote for a Hispanic.' And then they don't do it."

There are alternative explanations for Obama's loss. Some strategists believe that it was Obama's performance in the last debate before the primary that hurt his support. Others feel that there is no Bradley effect going on, but instead that Obama has increased his support among the white voters, especially in Iowa, Wisconsin, and Virginia.



Hillary Clinton

Sen. Hillary Clinton won the Pennsylvania primary on Tuesday, April 22, with 55 percent of the vote. The win was significant as it reenergized her campaign and proved to financial backers that she still has what it takes to compete with Obama, who has outpaced her in fundraising. Further, it added to her momentum at this crucial time when the Democratic candidates are seemingly in an endurance competition-financially, physically, and mentally.

With the Indiana and North Carolina primaries coming up on May 6, the candidates are still closely tied. Obama has won 1,724 delegates and Clinton trails with 1,589.

The amount of money spent by the Democrats for advertising is staggering and unprecedented. Still in the midst of a long campaign, Barack Obama has already spent nearly $70 million, and Clinton has spent over $40 million. Comparatively, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) spent only $20 million to secure his presidential nomination. Since there is still no decisive Democratic winner, the total will only grow as the candidates enter the summer months.
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Viewing Comments 1 - 3 of 3

jacksmith

posted 5/03/08 @ 2:20 AM EST

MY FELLOW "BITTER", STUPID, WORKING CLASS PEOPLE :-)

If you think like Barack Obama, that WORKING CLASS PEOPLE are just a bunch of "BITTER"!, STUPID, PEASANTS, Cash COWS!, and CANNON FODDER. (Continued…)

jacksmith

posted 5/03/08 @ 2:21 AM EST

DEBATE! DEBATE!! DEBATE!!!

It's time for everyone to face the truth. Barack Obama has no real chance of winning the national election in November at this time. (Continued…)

steven mcallen

posted 5/03/08 @ 2:22 PM EST

Obama talks about "Change or Manifesto", and if you put three of them (Obama, Wright, Farrahkan) together, yes, they can change this country of the United States of America to United States of Muslim Al-Quaeda. (Continued…)

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